The scenarios are assessed across three different time horizons; short-term 2030 (2021-2040), mid-term 2050 (2041-2060), and long-term 2070 (2061-2080). The time horizons are different from the ESRS. Although the risk of drastic environmental changes is most significant in the long term, they average lifetime of our assets, our strategic planning horizon, and our capital allocation plans do not stretch beyond the mid-term. Therefore, assessing physical risks in the short and mid-term is most strategically relevant. The materiality of the acute and chronic physical risks is determined based on the potential impact on Vestas using a consequence/likelihood scale.

The scenarios used are the International Energy Agency’s Net Zero Emissions by 2050, representing a climate scenario in line with limiting global warming to 1.5°C, and the Stated Policy Scenario, representing a more conservative benchmark for the future, not taking for granted that governments will reach all stated goals and energy-related objectives.

These scenarios are all relevant to Vestas as they cover both a very optimistic and a more realistic future scenario. Opposite to physical risks, transition risks and opportunities are more extreme in scenarios that assume successful mitigation of the worst effects of climate change, as drastic political and regulatory measures are necessary to change the current path. Therefore, these scenarios prepare companies well to adapt to changes in status quo.

The scenarios used are the International Energy Agency’s Net Zero Emissions by 2050, representing a climate scenario in line with limiting global warming to 1.5°C, and the Stated Policy Scenario, representing a more conservative benchmark for the future, not taking for granted that governments will reach all stated goals and energy-related objectives.

These scenarios are all relevant to Vestas as they cover both a very optimistic and a more realistic future scenario. Opposite to physical risks, transition risks and opportunities are more extreme in scenarios that assume successful mitigation of the worst effects of climate change, as drastic political and regulatory measures are necessary to change the current path. Therefore, these scenarios prepare companies well to adapt to changes in status quo.