ESRS disclosure: ESRS E1 \ DR E1-1 \ Paragraph 16 e

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  • Has the undertaking conducted a screening to determine if its assets and business activities are potentially exposed to transition events, as part of the process to identify and assess material climate-related impacts, risks, and opportunities? Please provide an explanation of whether and how transition events have been identified over the short-, medium-, and long-term, considering that long-term may extend beyond 10 years and align with climate-related public policy goals.
  • Question Id: E1.IRO-1_11

    With regard to transition scenarios analysis, according to different scenarios, transition speeds might vary greatly in the next two decades. The assessment of transition climate-related risks is based on a qualitative and quantitative climate-related scenario analysis. We take into account prospective scenarios for technological development, market conditions and normative evolutions. These scenarios are based on the IEA (namely NZE, APS and STEPS scenarios), a world agency providing analysis and advisory services to governments on energy issues, combined with many different literature studies, based on the definition of a climate ambition and technology progress parameter. Also, IPCC SSP scenarios were used to create charging infrastructure projections. The overall structure of the analysis relies on the pairing of physical and transition scenarios following the combinations: (1) SSP1/NZE- (2) SSP2/APS- (3) SSP3-5/STEPS:

    • The Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario (NZE) is a normative scenario that shows a pathway for the global energy sector to achieve net zero CO2 emissions by 2050, with advanced economies reaching net zero emissions in advance of others. It is consistent with limiting the global temperature rise to 1.5 °C with no or limited temperature overshoot (with a 50 percent probability). It is consistent with an RCP2.6 scenario. It is compatible with the SSP1 IPCC scenario, where the world follows a sustainable development pathway, with inequalities reduced, strong convergence between developing and developed countries, and strong climate action;
    • In the APS scenario, countries fully implement their national targets to 2030 and 2050. It is a “business as usual” scenario. It is consistent with a low range of the RCP4.5 scenarios. It is compatible with the SSP2 IPCC scenario which is a business-as-usual scenario;
    • The STEPS provides a conservative benchmark for the future, as it does not take for granted that governments will reach all announced climate goals. It explores where the energy system and other sectors might go without a major additional effort from policy makers. It is consistent with a high RCP4.5 (low RCP8.5) scenario, and compatible with SSP3-SSP5 IPCC scenarios. The SSP5 is a scenario with a strong technological development sustained, however, by fossil fuels, while the SSP3 is a “divided” world scenario, featuring strong inequalities and competition for resources between nations.

    To identify transitional risks, we analyzed, for each country in which Ferrari operates through points of sale, the regulatory situation concerning the ICE powertrain. This enabled us to identify the countries in which a restriction on the sale of ICE could be imposed. Moreover, we analyzed the targets set at national level in terms of the number of charging points for BEVs. With regard to the market, we also took into account the societal momentum around climate action, always guided by our scientific and holistic approach to address emission across sectors. The transition scenario analysis also took into consideration the issue of raw material shortage among its assumptions, while considering that it is partly caused by climate change and increased demand (with a consequence on prices) for certain types of critical materials needed to support the electric transition.

    Report Date: 4Q2024